In-person: Decision Quality Seminar: Better Decision-Making in the Age of AI: Opportunities and Challenges in Subsurface

FORCE Sustainable Recovery Technical Committee, in collaboration with Society of Decision Professionals, Stavanger Chapter is happy to invite you to a 2-day seminar. This seminar will show how structured decision-making improves clarity, alignment, and results. We will dive into ensemble modelling, uncertainty inputs, and history matching to build credible subsurface representations and volume ranges. We’ll also examine real-world data showing persistent bias in volume estimates—and how to correct for it. Don't miss out on this great event at Sodir.
Date | Time | Duration | Register by | Location |
10-11 June | 0900 | 2 Days | 3. June | Valhall, Havtil Entrance Stavanger |
Join technical and business leaders for a focused seminar on Decision Quality (DQ)—a practical framework for making better decisions under uncertainty.
Organizations make countless decisions. A few are critical. Most are not—individually. But collectively, mediocre decisions lead to mediocre outcomes. DQ offers a disciplined way to raise the quality of both everyday and strategic decisions.
What to Expect:
- How to apply fit-for-purpose Decision Quality—from fast operational choices to complex to high-impact calls.
- How top companies integrate Decision Quality into technical and business workflows.
- How to define objectives, develop realistic subsurface alternatives, and use uncertainty effectively.
- How to recognize and avoid decision traps and model-driven biases.
- Tools and approaches to include reservoir uncertainties in decision-making.
Program (subject to change)
Day 1
08:30 Refreshments & Registration & Networking
09:00 Welcome & overview
Torgeir Stordal, Director NOD
09:15 Decision Quality – What is it and why does it matter?
Reidar B. Bratvold, University of Stavanger
Is a Professor of Petroleum Investment and Decision Analysis. He works at the University of Stavanger and at the Norwegian Institute of Technology where he is teaching and supervising graduate students doing research in decision analysis, project valuation, portfolio analysis, real-option valuation and behavioural challenges in decision-making. Prior to academia, he spent 15 years in the industry in various technical and management roles including as Vice President in Landmark Graphics Corporation in Houston, Managing Director of Smedvig Technology Software Solutions (now Roxar), Senior Scientist with IBM, and Reservoir Engineer with Statoil. He spent his early working years as a roughneck and roustabout in the North Sea.
09:45 Energy Large Language Model (ELLM) by Society of Petroleum Engineers
Simon Seaton, SPE CEO and Executive Vice President
As CEO, Simon Seaton is responsible for overall management of SPE. He works with the Board of Directors and senior staff to develop strategic and business plans and formulate the organization’s goals, objectives, policies, and programs. He also organizes and directs the global staff organization, which includes offices in Dallas, Houston, Calgary, Kuala Lumpur, and Dubai, to ensure the accomplishment of SPE’s mission.
10:15 Coffee & networking
10:30 Decision Quality In Practice: Alignment, Focus and Value
Clare McIntyre, General Manager, Shell Norway
Clare joined Shell in Norway in 2012, and has held roles within Upstream Commercial, as Business Opportunity Manager for Conventional Oil and Gas and Deepwater projects, and in strategy development for New Energies. Since 2021 she has been Asset and Development Manager for the Ormen Lange gas field in Norway, as a member of the Norway Leadership Team. Prior to joining Shell, Clare spent eight years in public policy and foreign policy roles in the Canadian government. Her professional experience spans multi-party diplomatic and commercial negotiations, major capital project delivery, Upstream asset management, and leading transformational change.
11:00 Decision Quality at OMV Energy – New Workflows,
Case Studies and Implementation
Jost Püttmann & Walter Kosi, OMV Vienna
11:30 A DQ Journey – Framing, the Catalyst for Value Creation
Trygve Botn, Decision Advisor, ThinQ Decisions
12:00 Lunch & networking
13:00 From Data to Value: Improving Decision Quality through Information and Trade-offs
Tobias Müller, Equinor
Tobias has a background in business mathematics from the University of Leipzig (Germany). For over 5 years, Tobias has been working in the energy industry for Equinor in Norway. He is based in Harstad. Since starting in Equinor, he held several subsurface engineering positions with a focus on digital solutions, especially within robust reservoir optimization, area portfolio analysis and production monitoring. Recently, he assumed the role of a project leader for the Decision Optimization project within Equinor’s research department. Since 2022 he is a member of the SDP.
13:30 Biases And Their Value-Destroying Impact
Steve Begg, University of Adelaide
Steve Begg is an Emeritus Professor at the University of Adelaide. His focus is on tools and processes for decision-making under uncertainty; project/asset and portfolio economic evaluations; and psychological factors in eliciting expert opinions – particularly, bias identification, impact quantification and mitigation. Prior to academia he spent 19 years in industry in a variety of technical and management roles related to uncertainty (risk) and variability assessment/modelling, economic evaluation, and decision-making. He has twice been a Distinguished Lecturer for the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE) on uncertainty & decision-making topi s. In 2016 he received the SPE’s global award for his work on biases in decision-making. Steve is a founder member of the SDP and served on its Board 2014-2017. He is co-author, with Reidar Bratvold, of the book “Making Good Decisions”, and has given many industry short courses and workshops on decision-making topics.
14:10 Coffee & networking
14:25 Energy transition through Decision Analysis & Decision Quality
Vibeke Haugen, VP Subsurface, Equinor
Vibeke has a phD in oceanography from university in Bergen. She has been trained as a reservoir engineer after she started in the Oil and gas industry more than 20 years ago. She has held several leadership positions in Equinor in Norway but also internationally. She has a broad experience working in assets and has also spent 8 years heading up technology development and implementation within subsurface. Currently she is the VP of all subsurface activities in the Gullfaks areas.
15:05 Persistent Bias in Probabilistic Exploration &
Production Forecasting and Simple Methods to Overcome It
Professor Reidar Bratvold, University of Stavanger
15:45 Close out summary and final reflections
16:00 End
Day 2
08:30 Refreshments & networking
09:00 Recap of Day 1
Including ensemble sharing - initiative status
09:15 On Unified Ensemble Modelling - Where Are We Heading?
Jon Saetrom, Halliburton
09:45 Physics-Informed Neural Operators (PINO) As Surrogates For Reservoir Simulation In Uncertainty Exploration
Bjørn Egil Ludvigsen, Aker BP
Reservoir engineer at Aker BP, with three decades of expertise in reservoir simulation. He has contributed to numerous field development and production optimization projects globally. His previous work includes involvement in developing the MEPO software for history matching and uncertainty assessment, and he has been a proponent of probabilistic methods for decision-making since then. Currently, he is engaged in a research project focused on leveraging the advantages of artificial intelligence in reservoir simulation.
10:15 Coffee & networking
10:30 History Matching Automation - Perspectives On User Inputs and Splitting The Workflow Into Sensible Steps
Jarle Haukaas, SLB
Jarle Haukås is a Product Analyst in SLB's Reservoir Modeling and Engineering Program. He is based in Stavanger but works closely with the software development team in Abingdon, UK, looking after Petrel Uncertainty and Optimization and Agile Reservoir Modeling workflows. Prior to his current position, he spent 14 years in Schlumberger Stavanger Research, developing solutions for integration of 3D and 4D seismic in reservoir modeling and engineering workflows. He holds a PhD in Applied Mathematics from the University of Bergen (2006) on the topic Compositional Reservoir Simulation.
11:00 Breidablikk – Did we cover uncertainties pre field development?
Benedicte Vik Onanes & Sarah Riordan, Equinor
Benedicte Vik Oanes, is Principal Engineer, Reservoir Technology/ Leading Advisor Drainage Strategy. She holds an Msc degree in Petroleum Technology from NTNU. She has 19 years of experience within Reservoir Technology. She has worked with the Breidablikk field for 6 years. From June 1st Benedicte holds a new position as Leading Advisor Drainage Strategy.
Sarah Riordan is Leading geologist. She holds a PhD in petroleum geology from the University of Adelaide, Australia and has been building geomodels for over 25 years. She has a background in sedimentology and began her career working as a production geologist in Australia. Since moving to Norway in 2010 she has specialized in geomodelling for both hydrocarbon field development and CCS research projects.
11:30 Coffee & networking
12:30 Panel discussion - Model Complexity vs. Forecast Reality: Bridging the Gap
Jarle Haukaas, SLB
Jon Sætrom, Halliburton
TBA , Equinor
Professor Reidar Bratvold, University of Stavanger
13:30 Coffee & networking
13:45 Enhancing Reservoir Decision Quality through Integrated SCAL Modeling, Analogues, and Rock Typing
Muhammad Nur Ali Akbar, Prores & Ardian Pradhana Putra, Vår Energi
Muhammad Nur Ali Akbar
Senior Reservoir Engineer at Prores AS, based in Norway, with 10+ years extensive expertise in reservoir characterization and management, SCAL analysis, integrated petrophysics, and reservoir simulation. He has worked on oil & gas and CCS projects across Norway, Hungary, Croatia, Tanzania, and Indonesia assets. Before joining Prores AS, he worked at MOL Group based in Hungary and began his career at LAPI ITB and the Indonesia R&D Centre for Oil and Gas (LEMIGAS). He holds a BSc in Petroleum Engineering from ITSB and an MSc in Petroleum Geo-Engineering from the University of Miskolc. Akbar has authored multiple technical papers and received international recognition from SPWLA, SPE, and EAGE. He served as President of the SPWLA Indonesia Chapter (2017–2019) and was selected as an SPWLA Distinguished Speaker for 2022–2023.
Senior Reservoir Engineer at Vår Energi ASA, with 15 years of experience specializing in reservoir simulation and reservoir management. He holds a bachelor’s degree in petroleum engineering from Bandung Institute of Technology (ITB) and a master's degree in Petroleum Engineering from Heriot-Watt University. Ardian began his career in Indonesia, working with ExxonMobil, Mandala Energy, and Neptune Energy before joining Vår Energi in Norway. His expertise spans dynamic reservoir modeling, field development planning, and production optimization.
14:15 Is Reservoir Modeling Ready for its 'ChatGPT Moment'? Exploring Recent Breakthroughs in Generative AI
Lucas Mosser, Aker BP
Lukas is a data scientist at AkerBP. He leads Aker BPs generative AI initiatives for subsurface. He holds a PhD at the intersection of generative AI and subsurface inverse problems.
14:45 TBA
Remus Hanea, Equinor
Remus is the leading advisor Reservoir Technology, Assisted History Matching and Optimization/Decision Making in the Subsurface Discipline Excellence department in Equinor. His background is in Applied Mathematics, and he has 15 years of experience in Uncertainty Quantification, Data Assimilation and Optimization and Decisions Making with applications in Atmospheric sciences, Hydrology and in various Energy domains (mainly O&G). He also has a part time professorship position at University of Stavanger. in the Department of Petroleum Engineering, in the group of Petroleum Geoscience Engineering. Remus ’s main research topics are: Assisted History matching and Robust Optimization for Reservoir Management, Value of Information, Decision and risk analysis and Geostatistics. Remus teaches a specialized course for PhD and MSc students on Inverse Modeling, Data Assimilation and Optimization with applications in Reservoir Management, is supervising MSc and PhD students.
15:15 Summary and final reflections
15:30 End
FORCE seminars have previously been fully booked with waiting lists so you are encouraged to sign up as soon as you know you will attend.
Participation fees Stavanger:
FORCE members: NOK 1500,-
Non-members: NOK 3000,-
University/Students: Free
Important information:
You can register as a FORCE member and pay "FORCE member" price if you are an employee of a member company.
All FORCE member companies are listed here.
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For other questions, please contact the FORCE Secretariat
Norwegian Petroleum Directorate org.no: 870917732
Updated: 4/23/2025